Elena Rybakina vs Liudmila Samsonova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Samsonova's current second serve points win rate is slightly lower than Rybakina's, at 41.06% compared to Rybakina's 43.34%. Does this give Rybakina an edge in service games?
• In return game performance, Samsonova shows strength by winning 50.56% of her opponent's second serve points, while Rybakina wins 47.88%. Could this be a deciding factor?
• Both players perform similarly in first serve returns, with Samsonova at 28.81% and Rybakina at 26.19%. This suggests a competitive match on the return side.
• Under pressure, Rybakina excels with a break point save rate of 55.22% compared to Samsonova's 46.92%. Can Rybakina's ability to handle pressure affect the match outcome?
• Rybakina has a higher annual match win rate at 70% versus Samsonova's 58.18%, indicating superior overall form.
• Both players favor grass courts, but Rybakina holds a better win percentage of 75% compared to Samsonova's 67%. Will this advantage be crucial on a grass surface?
• On the Masters series, Rybakina won 52.63% of her matches, slightly behind Samsonova's Main tour win rate of 59.09%. How does event level experience influence this matchup?
• In direct head-to-head matchups, Samsonova leads with four wins out of five matches. Does this dominance suggest she might win again?
• Their last encounter saw Rybakina win in three sets, hinting at her improvement. Can she replicate this success?
• In deciding sets amongst themselves, Samsonova leads 2-1, implying a psychological edge if the match goes to the wire.
• Samsonova converts break points more efficiently, with a recent rate of 36.31% versus Rybakina's 31.01%.
• Opponent quality over the past year shows Samsonova competing against slightly tougher opponents, with an average rank of 63.25 compared to Rybakina's 69.2.
• Across all players, Samsonova has a slightly better deciding set win percentage at 53%, compared to Rybakina's 43%. This can be crucial if the match extends to a final set.

Editorial Prediction (May 23, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the head-to-head statistics between Samsonova and Rybakina, both promising and contrasting elements emerge from their gameplay.

Rybakina holds an advantage in recent second serve points won, showcasing a slightly superior service game. However, Samsonova's stronger performance in return games, particularly on second serves, cannot be overlooked.

Rybakina demonstrates a higher capability of handling pressure in saving breakpoints, but Samsonova's decisive edge in head-to-head history and better break point conversion could potentially tilt the match in her favor.

While Rybakina has a better win rate overall, Samsonova's ability to perform well in crucial set deciders poses a significant challenge to Rybakina. The slight differences in their strengths and weaknesses suggest a tightly contested match.

Based on these factors, it seems likely that Samsonova will leverage her head-to-head dominance and break point efficiency to secure another victory in this matchup.